Trump leads in four key states; Biden loses support from minorities and young people

Written by Parriva — May 14, 2024
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The latest New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll in battleground states, released on Monday, showed that most voters still wanted to “bring politics in Washington back to normal.” But nearly 70 percent of voters said the country’s political and economic systems needed major changes or to be completely torn down. And few believed that Mr. Biden would make even minor changes that would be good for the country.

Recent polling has been consistent enough to reflect widespread discontent with both candidates. Mr. Biden’s handling of the Gaza war has been deeply unpopular among young, Black and Hispanic voters, whose frustration, if it continues, could unravel the president’s Democratic coalition.

A big problem for President Biden’s reelection campaign: COVID-19 and Jan. 6 have been pushed to the back of many people’s minds, according to a new poll by the New York Times and Siena College.

These were two of the biggest news stories in recent American history. Voters are forgetting their association with the Trump presidency.

Voters are — by far — most likely to (negatively) cite former President Trump’s behavior and the economy (as a positive), the poll found.

“Because of recency bias… people typically feel their current problems most sharply. And they tend to have a warmer recall of past experiences, which can lead to a sense of nostalgia,” the Times’ Upshot writes.
The Biden campaign is pushing to puncture the Trump nostalgia bubble.

In the past month, Biden has hit Trump’s family separation policy, COVID bleach comments and the reversal of Roe v. Wade.

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